Local strongProtectionismstrong and Regional Specialization Evidence from.pdf

Local strongProtectionismstrong and Regional Specialization Evidence from.pdf

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THE WILLIAM DAVIDSON INSTITUTE AT THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN BUSINESS SCHOOL Local Protectionism and Regional Specialization: Evidence from China’s Industries By: Chong-En Bai, Yingjuan Du, Zhigang Tao, and Sarah Y. Tong William Davidson Working Paper Number 565 May 2003 Local Protectionism and Regional Specialization: Evidence from China’s Industries∗ † ‡ § Chong-En Bai, Yingjuan Du, Zhigang Tao, and Sarah Y. Tong April 2003 Abstract This paper uses a dynamic panel estimation method to investigate the determi- nants of regional specialization in China’s industries, paying particular attention to local protectionism. Less geographic concentration is found in industries where the past tax-plus-profit margins and the shares of state ownership are high, re- flecting stronger local government protection of these industries. The evidence also supports the scale-economies theory of regional specialization. Finally, the overall time trend of regional specialization of China’s industries is found to have reversed an early drop in the mid 1980s, and registered a significant increase in the later years. Key Words: local protectionism, regional specialization, scale economy, external economy. JEL Classifi cation Number: F1, R12, P2 ∗We are grateful to James E. Rauch and two anonymous referees for their valuable suggestions, to Songnian Chen, David D. Li, Barry Naughton, Ivan Png, Shang-Jin Wei, Richard Wong, Lijing Zhu, and participants of the 2003 AEA annual meetings f

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