Background Report for BODE3 Modelling on Estimating the Impact.pdfVIP

Background Report for BODE3 Modelling on Estimating the Impact.pdf

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Background Report for BODE3 Modelling on Estimating the Impact.pdf

1 3 Background Report for BODE Modelling on Estimating the Impact of the Tick Programme in New Zealand (a Heart Health Food Endorsement Programme) May 2014 Nick Wilson, Nhung Nghiem BODE3 Programme, University of Otago, Wellington (See acknowledgements for those providing addition input). Abstract Background: Many countries have health-related endorsements (as symbols or logos) on packaged foods, including New Zealand with a Pick the Tick Programme. However, the size of the impact of this approach on food composition and nutrient intakes at the population level is largely unquantified. To inform modelling work on the cost-effectiveness of cardiovascular disease prevention, we aimed to estimate the difference in diet between New Zealand with the Tick Programme, compared to the counterfactual of no Tick Programme ever having existed in New Zealand. Methods: The average New Zealand adult intake of sodium, saturated fat and energy by food category (including separately for Tick Programme and non-programme foods) was estimated by merging 2012 “NutriTrack” data (brand-specific food composition) and national nutrition survey data. We then identified the differences between Tick products and non-Tick products and from this estimated what the New Zealand diet would have been had there been no Tick products. Results: There were 448 of the 8440 (5.3%) packaged food items in NutriTrack that displayed the Tick. Compared to a counterfactual of no Tick Programme, we estimate that saturated fat was 1.0 g/day less (3.2% of daily intake of saturated fat for the average New Zealand adult), sodium 38.0 mg/d less (1.1%) and dietary energy 72 kJ/d less (0.8%). Conclusions: These results were generated to facilitate BODE3 Programme modelling work for sodium and saturated fat reduction. They are subject to

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