基于证据推理的汽轮机组状态评价方法.pdfVIP

第27 卷 第29 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.27 No.29 Oct. 2007 2007 年10 月 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2007 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 0258-8013 (2007) 29-0074-06 TK267 A 470 99 文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标识码： 学科分类号： ⋅ 基于证据推理的汽轮机组状态评价方法 1 1 2 董玉亮 ，顾煜炯，马履翱 (1．华北电力大学电站设备状态监测与控制教育部重点实验室，北京市 昌平区 102206 ； ２．国网北京电力建设研究院，北京市 宣武区 100055) Condition Evaluation on Steam Turbine Units Based on Evidential Reasoning 1 1 2 DONG Yu-liang , GU Yu-jiong , MA Lü-ao (1. Key Laboratory of Condition Monitoring and Control for Power Plant Equipment of Ministry of Education, North China Electric Power University, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China; 2. SG Electric Power Construction Research Institute, Xuanwu District, Beijing 100055, China) ABSTRACT: Aiming at the problem that the condition 0 引言 information of large size steam turbine unit is complex and 大型汽轮机组具有系统复杂、故障率高的特 difficult to evaluate its condition accurately, an evaluation method based on evidential reasoning is proposed. The 点，由汽轮机组故障引起的非计划停机占全部的 uncertainty and incompletion of evaluation evidences are fully 28.73% ，仅次于锅炉[1] 。在状态监测的基础上，结 considered, qualitative and quantitative evidences are 合运行人员的经验对汽轮机组进行状态评价，并 integrated and the acquisition and transformation methods are 根据评价结果进行维修决策，对提高机组可靠性 put forward based on constructing multiple-attribute 和可用率，降低维修费用具有重