基于风险理论和模糊推理的电压脆弱性评估.pdfVIP

25 卷 24 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.25 No.24 Dec. 2005 2005 年12 月 Proceedings of the CSEE 2005 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 文章编号：0258-8013 (2005) 24-0020-06 中图分类号：TM71 文献标识码：A 学科分类号：47040 基于风险理论和模糊推理的电压脆弱性评估 陈为化，江全元，曹一家 （浙江大学电气工程学院，浙江省杭州市 310027 ） VOLTAGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON RISK THEORY AND FUZZY REASONING CHEN Wei-hua, JIANG Quan-yuan, CAO Yi-ji a (College of Electrical Engineering, Zheji ang University, Hangzhou 310027, Zheji ang Province, China) ABSTRACT: This paper summarizes the defects of traditional 关键词：电力系统；电压安全性；脆弱性评估；风险理论； assessment methods for voltage security and points out the 模糊推理 necessity of voltage security vulnerability assessment in the 1 引言 power market environment. A concept of voltage vulnerability is introduced as a framework for power system voltage security 电压安全是电力系统在额定运行条件下和遭 assessment. This concept combines information on the level of 受扰动之后系统中所有母线都持续地保持可接受的 voltage security and its trend with changing system conditions. [1] 电压的能力 。在电压不安全状态，系统电压将偏 An approach is presented to calculate the voltage vulnerability for power systems based on risk theory and fuzzy reasoning. 离正常电压水平，甚至发生电压崩溃导致整个电力 Voltage risk index and its trend to load level are calculated to 系统的瘫痪。随着负荷的增长和电力市场的实行， deal with both the level of security and