Accuracy and stability of national and international somatic.pptVIP

Accuracy and stability of national and international somatic.ppt

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Accuracy and stability of national and international somatic.ppt

Accuracy and stability of national and international somatic cell score evaluations Objectives Investigate the accuracy and stability of somatic cell score evaluations From US data (study one) Overall By bull sampling status ‘S’ Standard sampling, defined by NAAB ‘O’ Other (alternative) sampling From Interbull data (study two) For bulls with US evaluations By inclusion of foreign daughters Data Study One 20,811 Holstein bulls born in 1985 or later 17,992 Sampling status ‘S’ 2819 Sampling status ‘O’ 481,416 US SCS evaluations from 1995 through February 2004 compared to May 2004 evaluations 6,975,946 pairs of evaluations including all evaluation pairs for each bull Methods Study One Mean change, absolute change, SD and expected SD of change where: Between each evaluation and the May 2004 evaluation, for all bulls and by sampling status Within all pairs of evaluations, by change in reliability (REL) Results Study One Overall, May 2004 PTA SCS were greater than earlier evaluations SD of change in evaluations were larger than E(SD) For evaluations prior to 2000, SD of change averaged 19% larger than E(SD) For later evaluations, SD of change was 10% larger than E(SD) Results Study One SD of change exceeded E(SD) more with smaller increases in REL For changes in REL less than .05, SD of change was 25% greater than E(SD) For changes in REL from .10 to .30, SD of change was 8% greater than E(SD) Sampling status can affect accuracy ‘O’ bull first evaluations changed less but increased less in REL ‘S’ bull evaluations with an opportunity for 2nd crop daughters more accurate Data Study Two 13,624 Holstein bulls with only US daughters in Interbull evaluations for May 2001 1028 Holstein bulls with US and additional foreign daughters included in Interbull evaluations Methods Study Two Correlations of 2001 with 2004 evaluations and regressions of 2004 on 2001 evaluations By increase in US daughters from 2001 to 2004 For bulls with Interbull evaluations including: US daughters

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