基于广义极值理论的非高斯风压极值计算方法.pdfVIP

30 卷 2 期 Vol.30 No.2 工 程 力 学 2013 年 2 月 Feb. 2013 ENGINEERING MECHANICS 44 文章编号：1000-4750(2013)02-0044-06 基于广义极值理论的非高斯风压极值计算方法 王 飞，全 涌，顾 明 ( 同济大学土木工程防灾国家重点实验室，上海 200092) 摘 要：该文从广义极值理论出发，根据观察极值的相互独立性，推导了风压时程样本的极值分布参数与样本长 度之间的关系式。以对风压时程样本的合理分段为手段，给出了一种由众多子样本极值的概率分布参数推算母样 本的极值期望值的估算方法。最后，基于风洞试验数据，将该文所用方法与常用极值估算方法(Davenport 法、 Kown-Kareem 法、Sadek-Simiu 法和Quan 等法) 的计算结果进行了比较，表明该方法能更准确地估计非高斯风压 的极值。 关键词：非高斯风压；极值；广义极值理论；风洞试验；极值分布参数 + 中图分类号：TU312 .1 文献标志码：A doi: 10.6052/j.issn.1000-4750.2011.07.0483 AN EXTREME-VALUE ESTIMATION METHOD OF NON-GAUSSIAN WIND PRESSURE BASED ON GENERALIZED EXTREME VALUE THEORY WANG Fei , QUAN Yong , GU Ming (State Key Laboratory for Disaster Deduction in Civil Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China) Abstract: Based on the generalized extreme value theory as well as the independence of observed extreme values, the relationship between the parameters of the extreme value distribution of wind pressure history and its length of observation is deduced. A new method for estimating the extreme values is developed by dividing the time history sample of the wind pressure into several sub-samples properly. Depending on the wind tunnel test, the calculated extreme values of the wind pressure coefficients obtained from the proposed method and those from the commonly used ones are compared and the results indicate that the present method can estimate the extreme values of non-Gaussian wind pressure more accurately than the commonly used ones. Key words: non-Gaussian wind pressure; extreme value; generalized extreme value theory; wind-tunnel