广州市洪水灾害危险性评价初步研究.pdfVIP

19 4 Vo.l 19 No. 4 2010 8 JOURNAL OF NATURAL DISASTERS Aug. 2010 : 1004- 45 4( 2010) 04- 0023- 06 潘安定, 刘会平, 陈碧珊, 杨木壮, 黄婷薇, 李 旭 ( 11, 510006; 21, 510006) : , , G IS, 5) ) ) , ; , , AHP, , : 5, , : ; ; ; : P4261616 : A Prim ary study on risk evaluation of flood disater in Guangzhou City PAN An-ding, LIU Hu-i p ing, CHEN Bi-shan, YANG Mu-zhuang, HUANG T ing-w e,i LI Xu ( 11R esearch Institute for Guangzhou Developm ent, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China; 21School of Geography Science, GuangzhouU niversity, Guangzhou 510006, China) Abstract: Guangzhou is one of the h ighest risk cities of flood d isaster. The huge loss had been made by the h igh frequency and w ide scope influence of the disaster. W ith the development of the economy and society, the lossw ill increase, andmore areasw ill be influenced once the flood d isaster occurs. In this paper, the function on space a- nalysis and overlap ofARC / INFO GIS p latform w as used. Firstly, through analysis and digitization, five raster cov- eragesw erem ade for the follow ing factors that composed flood risk: frequency of floods happen ing in h istory, topog- raphy, river ne,t precipitation, and the number of annual rainstorm days. Secondly, amap of assessment for flood risk in Guangzhou City is made by overlaping these raster coverages of the five factors, composingAHP decision a- nalysis model, and comb in ing the calculatedw eight of each factor. The result show s that, the influences of the five factors splice and restrict each other, especially the number of a