中国绿色转型进程评估与展望详解.pptx

中国绿色转型进程评估与展望 Evaluation and Prospects for a Green Transition Process in China 主要研究结论和政策建议 Key Research Findings and Major Policy Recommendations 2014.12.1-3 ;主要研究结论 Key Research Findings;过去10年中国采取了一系列政策措施Numerous Policy Initiatives in Past 10 Years;绿色转型取得了很大进展Green transition has achieved progress（CO2 intensity of GDP);其他污染物指标 Some other indicators;仍面临巨大挑战 But challenges are huge;主要存在的问题Main Problems;1. 经济结构失衡 The structure of economic growth;2. 较少运用市场化经济政策和措施Too little market-based economic policies;3. 缺乏有效的需求方政策Lack of “demand side policies”;4. 能源使用效率低下  Low energy efficiency;5. 缺少多方面的参与和协作Lack of participation of many relevant players;实现绿色转型的机遇Historical Opportunity for Green Transition ;实现绿色转型的机遇Historical Opportunity for Green Transition ;--如果政府采取正确的结构调整和绿色发展措施，中国在未来10年以至更长的发展中仍可保持7%左右的增长，并使环境状况得到明显改善。 If the government could incorporate right policies aiming at structural changes and green development, China could be able to continue its 7% GDP growth in the next years with significant improvement in environmental conditions. --数量较小但效率较高的投资，能产生同样的增长；环保技术和环保基础设施的投资本身即对经济增长作出贡献，又促进绿色转型。Smaller share of investment in GDP may even produce stronger GDP growth if the remaining investment is directed to green technology and infrastructure, and if consumption is oriented towards environmentally friendly goods and services.;主要政策建议Main Policy Recommendations;1. 改善经济结构，避免过度投资 Improve economic structure with less and better targeted investment 本课题组强烈建议政府通过政策调整和改革推动消费-投资结构和产业结构的再平衡，从而抑制过度投资和产能过剩及由此产生的过度能源消费和大气污染。Within China’s reform program, government should prioritize institutional reforms and policy adjustments to rebalance China’s economic structure, and focuses on reducing tendency to over-invest to reduce excessive energy consumption and air pollution. 实现结构再平衡需要一系列改革和政策调整，包括财政和金融部门改革、改善收入分配和社会保障体系等。在财政和行政体制改革方面，我们建议推进政府职能转变，减少政府投资，增加公共服务和社会保障支出，以促进投资-消费结构再平衡。Policy adjustments are needed in structural rebala