麦田蒸散模型的改进及其对阻力参数的敏感性分析-国家重大科学研究.doc

李俊，韩凤明，同小娟，等.麦田蒸散模型的改进及其对阻力参数的敏感性分析[J].中国农业气象，2014，35（）：- 麦田蒸散模型的改进及其对阻力参数的敏感性分析* 李 俊1，韩凤明1,2，同小娟3，于 强1 （1.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室, 北京 100101; 2.中国科学院大学, 北京 100049; 3. 北京林业大学林学院, 北京 100083） 摘要：采用Penman-Monteith(PM)模型和Shuttleworth-Wallace(SW)模型模拟冬小麦田主要生长季（3-5月）的逐时蒸散量（ET），改进模型中有效叶面积指数（LAIe）的计算，以涡度相关测定的ET为参照检验模型改进的效果，并分析模型对各阻力参数的敏感性。结果表明：SW模型和PM模型估算的ET均对冠层阻力最敏感。3月小麦冠层稀疏，SW模型模拟ET的效果优于PM模型；4、5月小麦冠层稠密，两个模型模拟ET的效果均较好。改进LAIe计算后，4、5月PM模型和SW模型估算麦田蒸散的精度显著提高，ET模拟值与实测值的相关系数、一致性指数更接近1，ET模拟的相对误差和均方根误差变小。 关键词：Penman-Menteith模型；Shuttleworth-Wallace模型；蒸散；有效叶面积指数；冠层阻力 Evapotranspiration Models for a Winter Wheat Field: the Improvements and Analyses on their Sensitivities to the Resistance Parameters LI Jun1, HAN Feng-ming1,2, TONG Xiao-juan3, YU Qiang1 (1. Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; 2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049; 3. College of Forestry, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083) Abstract: Penman-Monteith (PM) model and Shuttleworth-Wallace (SW) model were used to simulate hourly evapotranspiration (ET) in a winter wheat field during the main growing season (March-May). The simulation results were further verified based on eddy flux measurements and the sensitivity of ET simulation to resistance parameters was analyzed. The results showed that ET simulated by PM model and SW model were most sensitive to the change in canopy resistance. Due to the sparse canopy of winter wheat in March, PM model may underestimate ET and SW model was better than PM model in ET simulation. Owing to the dense canopy of winter wheat in April and May, both models were satisfied in ET estimation. In April and May, the accuracy of ET simulated by two models was greatly improved by improving the calculation of effective leaf area index (LAIe). The correlation coefficient and the index of agreement (IA) for simulated