BenefitsofChronologicalOptimizationinLong-EnergyExemplar.ppt

Click to edit Master title style Click to edit Master title style Benefits of Chronological Optimization in Long-Term Planning for Electricity Markets using PLEXOS? Simulation Software  Charles I. Nweke, Frank Leanez, Glenn R. Drayton, and Mohan Kolhe 基于PLEXOS?仿真软件的电力市场长期规划优化 Energy Exemplar Pty Ltd公司简介 * About the company PLEXOS? software development is performed by Energy Exemplar in its Adelaide, Australia office. Energy Exemplar 公司位于澳大利亚南澳首府阿德莱德。 Energy Exemplar provides local distribution, support, data and consulting services globally. PLEXOS? is also available for Research purposes. 同时为全球客户提供技术支持，数据分析和咨询服务. PLEXOS? 软件也可以被用于科研用途。 Motivation: Renewable and non-conventional resources introduce uncertainty-require back-up from traditional thermal generation. 作为传统能源的替代品，新能源和可再生能源的发展带来了机遇。 Along with high penetration levels, the following security-related questions arise: What technology can be replaced? 什么样的能源形势可以被替代？ What technology has to remain? 什么样的能源形势可以继续保留？ How simulation models can provide answers? 系统仿真模型如何来解决这些问题？ * Study Objectives 本文研究对象 Challenges for Planning Tools: 对于规划工具的挑战 Traditional approaches: Heuristic methods/solutions 启发式算法 Decoupling investment and production models 解耦处理投资分析和产能分析 Mathematical optimization: Use of Load-Duration-Curve (LDC) 数学优化方法：负载持续曲线 Drawbacks: Sub-optimal solutions 次佳解，非最优解 System-specific: Hard to modify and implement 系统参数很难调整 LDC ‘breaks’ the chronology 负载持续曲线有可能打乱年代序列 * Study Objectives 本文研究对象 Introduce Chronology: Mathematical optimization: Co-optimize investment and production costs 投资和产能优化同时进行 Introduce thermal generation inter-temporal constraints: 引入下列约束条件 Minimum stable levels 最小稳定值 Effect of start-up/shutdown costs 开关机成本 Min Up/Down times 最小开机关机时间 The challenge: Are we there yet? Use a real-sized South Australian detailed system 本文中南澳电网模型被用来做验证分析 * Approach 实现方法 * Approach 实现方法 Slicing the horizon into periods (blocks) 整个仿真周期阶段化 Shape of the annual electricity consumption of SA 南澳洲年用电量图 LDC Appr