甲醇制高清洁燃料项目经济的分析.docVIP

Dissertation Submitted to Hebei University of Technology for The Master Degree of Engineering ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF METHANOL-TO-CLEAN FUELPROJECT by Li Xuzhi Supervisor: Prof.Zhang Jianjun November 2014  河北工业大学工程硕士学位论文  河北工业大学工程硕士学位论文 摘要 目前国内石油能源严重匮乏，并且依赖国外进口的趋势越来越严重。同时因 石油的消耗，国内环境面临着严峻的挑战，引起社会广泛的关注。但是国内的煤 炭资源相对丰富，以煤炭资源来补充石油的需求也就越来越迫切。 本文运用经济性分析研究方法展开了对甲醇制高清洁燃料项目的分析论证。 此项研究一方面可以为项目的建设起到指导实践作用，避免了盲目开发建设；另 一方面,此项目的成功实施也对我国清洁能源的推广使用起到积极的推动作用。 此外还可以减缓国内对石油的需求，开辟新能源，有利于环境的保护。 本文首先通过查阅相关统计数据得到国内对石油和 LPG 的需求进行了预测， 总体呈现上升趋势；然后对本项目进行了投资估算，并进行了财务、经济评价及 社会效益评价。其中通过费用效益分析方法得到可变成本的消耗和价格是影响成 本的关键因素,以及此项目收益高于行业平均水平和本项目的偿债能力逐年增强 的结论；通过盈亏平衡分析得到此项目具有较强的抗产量波动能力；通过敏感性 分析得到影响此项目财务内部收益率最敏感的因素是产品售价。 关键字：清洁能源 煤化工 可行性研究 费用效益分析  I ABSTRACT The current domestic oil energy is scarce, trends and dependent on foreign imports more and more serious.At the same time, due to the oil consumption, the domestic environment is facing severe challenges,which causes social widespread concern.But domestic relative abundance of coal resources, coal resources to supplement the oil demand has become more and more urgent. This paper carried out the analysis of methanol to make clean fuel project through Feasibility study method. On the one hand the study can play a role to guide the practice for the construction of project, avoid blind development and construction; On the other hand the project successful implementation also used for the promotion of clean energy in China play a positive role.In addition the study can also slow down the domestic demand for oil and open up new energy, which is conducive to the protection of the environment. Research methods of this article: firstly, it is predicted that the domestic demand for oil and LPG rise through access to relevant statistics; This project investment estimatio