河南省农村消费结构解决方案.doc

本科生毕业论文（设计） 河南省农村消费结构研究 姓　　名 学　　号 专　　业 指导教师 2011年5月20日摘　要 消费需求作为拉动经济增长的最终力量，正对我国经济发展产生着越来越重要的影响。努力扩大国内需求，提高居民消费是我国经济发展的长期战略方针。中国是农业大国关键词：  Abstract Consumer demand as the ultimate driving force of economic growth, Chinas economic development is an increasingly important influence. Efforts to expand domestic demand and increase consumption is Chinas long-term strategy for economic development. Chinas first populated province 54.32% of the agricultural population is the largest consumer groups, the rural market is a huge potential consumer market. Henan is Chinas first populated province , its two-thirds of the total population is rural population , the correct analysis of consumption structure and Rural Development, as well as some of the factors affecting rural consumers,it is good to guide the state government departments to formulate specific,which can not only increase the income of farmers and promote the consumption of farmers ,but also keep the economy sustained and healthy development.In this paper, rural residents in Henan Province as the research object, using the extended linear expenditure system model.Henan Province, in 2009 the per capita net income of rural residents and a variety of consumer spending, cross-sectional data grouped according to the data of different income generation of the model parameters into ELES estimates, quantitative analysis of the current consumption of rural residents in Henan province specific characteristics of the structure, and the status of the province after years of spending proposed by the scientific projections and proposed recommendations to better promote national economic development. Key Words: Henan Province; Rural residents; Consumption structure; ELES model 目录引 言 1 （一）研究背景及意义 1 （二）研究的主要内容 1 （三）综述 1 一、扩展线性支出系统模型的介绍 2 二、河南省农村居民消费模型的建立和估 2 （一）模型的建立 2 （二）参数估计 3 （三）模型检验 4 （四）模型得出 4 三、河南省农村消费结构模型的分析 5 (一) 边际消费倾向分析 5 (二) 基本需求分析 6 (三) 恩格尔系数分析 6 (四) 需求收入弹性分析 6 四、