TheSouthAmericanMonsoonSystemRecentEvolutionand.pptVIP

* * * * * * * * * * * The South American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 26 September2016 For more information, visit: /products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons Outline Highlights Recent Evolution and Current Conditions NCEP/GFS Model Forecasts Climatology Long-term rainfall deficits are present over Brazilian Plateau and southern Brazil. During the last 7 days (19-25 September 2016), below-average precipitation was observed over northwestern Venezuela, northern and southern Brazil. Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of Colombia, eastern Ecuador, eastern Peru, northern Bolivia and southern Amazon Basin. For 26 September – 02 October 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted over Venezuela, southern Brazil and southern Chile. Above-average precipitation is predicted over central Colombia, western-central Peru and southern Amazon Basin. Highlights Rainfall Total Anomaly Patterns:Last 7 Days During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was observed over northwestern Venezuela, northern and southern Brazil. Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of Colombia, eastern Ecuador, eastern Peru, northern Bolivia and southern Amazon Basin. Total Anomaly Rainfall Totals Anomaly Patterns:Last 30 Days During the last 30 days, below-average precipitation was observed over most of the northern South America, central and southern Brazil, central Argentina and southern Chile. Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of Paraguay, Uruguay, northern Bolivia, southern Amazon Basin and central Colombia. Total Anomaly BP Recent Evolution: RainfallLast 90 Days BP: Brazilian Plateau 90-day rainfall deficits are present over the Brazilian Plateau (~30 mm) and southern Brazil ( 80 mm). Tropical Pacific and Atlantic SST Anomalies A weekly PowerPoint summarizing the ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions is availabl