Current Operations and Ongoing Development of the BlueSky.pptVIP

Current Status and Ongoing Development of BlueSky Sim Larkin, Robert Solomon US Forest Service Dana Sullivan, Sean Raffuse, Chris Ovard, Lyle Chinkin Sonoma Technology Lamb/Vaughan NASA ROSES Project Meeting UW, April 13, 2007 Real-time products using BlueSky FCAMMS: National BlueSkyRAINS Selected Accomplishments BlueSky Consortium Users and scientists together?! Oh, my! Tailored visualizations RAINS Creating a dialog Modular/Flexible, so utilized Adopted by National Weather Service SMOKE preprocessor like MOBILE, etc… enables inter-model comparisons National Forecasts NWS “experimental” transitioning to “operational” FCAMMS consistent national product now available Inter-agency cooperation USDA, USDOI, USEPA, NOAA BlueSkyRAINS West 2005 demonstration project BlueSky-West Frank Church Evaluation: Findings and Recommendations Bluesky models long-range transport very well. Fires are currently modeled as single plumes, lofting smoke unrealistically high and lowering ground impacts In reality, fires are made of many burning areas lofting smoke to various heights Fire Information Issues Which model is best? This spring: Reconciled satellite data SMARTFIRE Initial BlueSky Framework rewrite available Consistent BlueSky predictions across all FCAMMS + consistent RAINS implementation Later this year: Integrated national 36km CMAQ grid + higher-resolution regional FCAMMS forecasts Revised interface AIRNowTech? RAINS2? Partnering with AIRNow By next year ? : Ability to ‘what-if’ prescribed burns Ensemble forecasts International Satellite fire detects don’t stop at border Incorporate all fire info sources SMARTFIRE? Run overall grid e.g. 36km CMAQ, other Have this feed more regional applications - all in one [AQ need] CMAQ, WRF-CHEM, other - smoke management specific turn fires off/on, etc... CALPUFF/HYSPLIT User Needs 2 Distinct Smoke Forecasting Needs for Air Quality What is going to happen? would ideally like 1 number  possibly