概率论与统计学.pptVIP

山东轻院皮革教研室 第5章 概率论概念纵览 （a survey of probability concepts ） 第1节 什么是概率（ what is a probability） 第2节 概率求解方法（ approach to probability ） 第3节 几个概率法则（ some rules of probability ） 第4节 树形图（tree diagrams ） 第5节 贝叶斯定理（Bayes’ theorem） 第6节 计数定理（principles of counting） Managers often base their decisions on an analysis of uncertainties such as the following: 1. What are the chances that sales will decrease if we increase prices? 2. What is the likelihood a new assembly method will increase productivity? 3. How likely is it that the project will be finished on time? 4. What is the chance that a n