[2012.11.26]Global trends for 20132013全球趋势Top10.docxVIP

/blogs/theworldin2013CassandraThe World in 2013Global trends for 2013A top ten for business leadersNov 26th 2012, 11:01?by J.A.Cassandra is obviously not the only forecaster, and sadly on occasion this particular modern-day soothsayer fails to match the infallibility of his classical forebear. I say this because the?http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/cricketngland cricket team, despite my dire predictions of disappointment, has today handsomely defeated India in Mumbai. So, it is in a spirit of humility that I offer these predictions for 2013 from alternative (I am loth to say rival) forecasters, Professor Thomas Malnight of the IMD business school in Lausanne and his colleague Tracey Keys of Strategy Dynamics Global.??Looking down their ten trends, I find myself general in agreement (though Im not as pessimistic as they are in number 7, and we have to bear in mind that a lot of what they say is more relevant to the years well beyond 2013). And quite what they mean by the ownerless economy in number 2 is a bit of a mystery…Still, well worth pondering, and well worth looking at the?/Globaltrends website. Meanwhile, here is their potted version:??The great power shift10 trends business leaders need to watch in 2013?Thomas W. Malnight and Tracey S. KeysThe great global redistribution of economic and social power will continue over the next 12 months. Power will flow away from traditional institutions that have failed to deliver progress – especially governments and banks. It will flow towards communities and individuals, and also to businesses whose leaders understand and act on the big trends shaping our future.This future looks uncertain and unstable. Hurricane Sandy was a deadly reminder of shifting climate patterns, emphasizing the need for new ways to manage the world’s resources and environment. There are growing levels of social unrest over rising inequality, austerity, unemployment, political ineptitude, institutional failure and more. And companies will co