我国农村贫困的变化与扶贫政策取向.pptVIP

我国农村贫困的变化与扶贫政策取向 Changing Situation of Rural Poverty and Orientation of Rural Poverty Reduction Policy in China 苗齐 钟甫宁 ?Miao Qi and Zhong Funing 南京农业大学经济管理学院 College of Economics Management, NAU 2006年5月23－24日 May 23-24, 2006 成就和挑战Achievement and Challenges 1978-2005年贫困发生率从30.7%下降到2.5% (2.5亿减少到2365万) Poverty incidence reduced from 30.7% to 2.5% between 1978 and 2005 (250 millions down to 23.65 millions) 贫困群体依然庞大;消除贫困难度加大;贫困群体弱势地位突出 Still a large number of the poor; poverty eradication more difficult; disadvantageous position prominent ----刘坚 Liu Jian 提纲 Outline 一、贫困测度及其对扶贫政策的影响 Measurement and Its Impact 二、中国农村扶贫政策及其效果 Poverty Reduction in Rural China 三、对农村扶贫政策的讨论和建议 Discussions and Suggestions I. 贫困测度及其影响 Measurement and Its Impact 1.1 测度方法 Measurements 贫困发生率 Poverty Incidence 贫困深度指数 Poverty Depth 贫困强度指数 Poverty Severity I. 贫困测度及其影响 Measurement and Its Impact 1.2 不同测度的结果 Different Effects with Measurements 图1　收入分布变化对贫困测度的影响 Figure 1 Impact of Changing Income Distribution on Poverty Measuring I. 贫困测度及其影响 Measurement and Its Impact 1.2 不同测度的结果 Different Effects with Measurements 扶贫以前 扶贫以后 变化 Before After Change 贫困发生率 Poverty Incidence 0.5 0.4 -20% 贫困深度指数 Poverty Depth 0.25 0.2 -20% 贫困强度指数 Poverty Severity 0.0833 0.0533 -36% I. 贫困测度及其影响 Measurement and Its Impact 1.3 政策选择（I、II） Policy Options（I II） 图2　不同政策选择对贫困测度的影响（一） Figure 2 Impact of Different Policy Options on Poverty Measuring (I) I. 贫困测度及其影响 Measurement and Its Impact 1.3 政策选择（III、IV） Policy Options（III IV） 图3　不同政策选择对贫困测度的影响（二） Figure 2 Impact of Different Policy Options on Poverty Measuring