兵团南疆城镇化水平与人才.docxVIP

兵团南疆城镇化水平与人才 聚集能力关系浅析 ——基于1993—2012年数据的理论与实证 卢泉1 张志昂1 （1、塔里木大学 经济与管理学院 新疆阿拉尔 843300） 摘要：兵团南疆地广人稀城镇发展质量以及效益规模低下，既不利于当地剩余劳动力转移，更制约了人才在南疆地区集聚，影响整个社会经济的综合发展。因此怎样在城镇化过程中集聚人才，同时发挥人才的集聚效应，是当下迫切需要解决的重大问题。国内外 HYPERLINK / 文献，对研究兵团人力资源的集聚提供了诸多的理论支撑与实践探讨。本文运用逐步回归法，寻找城镇化评价因子中与人才聚集能力关联度最大的若干因子，通过兵团南疆各个师1993—2012年20年的时间序列数据的回归分析，对作为被解释变量的人才集聚度与主要因子之间的数量关系进行实证分析，为兵团南疆城镇化建设与人才的聚集提出参考。 关键词：城镇化 人才聚集 逐步回归 实证分析 Analysis on the relationship between Corps Nanjiang urbanization level and the talent aggregation ability Based on data from 1993 to 2012 -- theoretical and empirical (College of economics and management Tarim University alaer Xinjiang 843300) Abstract: The Corps Nanjiang with much land and few people town development quality and scale efficiency is low, is not conducive to the transfer of local surplus labor, more restricted the talent in the southern region agglomeration effects, the comprehensive development of the whole social economy. So how to urbanization talent agglomeration process, at the same time, give full play to the talents agglomeration effect, is a major problem urgent to solve. Domestic and foreign literature, agglomeration of corps human resource provides theoretical support and practice of many. In this paper, using stepwise regression method to find some factors, the maximum degree of ability of talent aggregation and urbanization evaluation factor, through the Corps in each division return from 1993 to 2012 20 years time series data for analysis, as explained variables of talent aggregation degree and mainly because the number of relationship between the empirical analysis, as the construction and talent Corps Nanjiang town gathered to make reference to. Key words: urbanization talent stepwise regression empirical analysis 1.引言及研究综述 兵团“十二五”规划纲要将城镇化作为“三化”之首，兵团南疆地广人稀的人口布局决定了城镇化建设的难度更大，成本更高。同时兵团南疆地区城镇发展质量以及效益规模低下，既不利于当地剩余劳动力转移，更制约了人才在南疆地区集聚，影响整个社会经济的综合发展。因此怎样在城镇化过程中集聚人才，同时发挥人才的集聚效应，是当下迫切需要解决的重大问题。国内外 HYPERLINK / 文献，对研究兵团人力资源的集聚提供了诸多的理论支撑与实践探讨。但是无论是理论还