2014美赛303303.doc

For office use only T1 ________________ T2 ________________ T3 ________________ T4 ________________ Team Control Number30303 ? Problem ChosenB For office use only F1 ________________ F2 ________________ F3 ________________ F4 ________________ 2014Mathematical Contest in Modeling (MCM/ICM) Summary Sheet(Attach a copy of this page to your solution paper.) Type a summary of your results on this page. Do not includethe name of your school, advisor, or team members on this page. Sports Illustrated is looking for the best all time college coach for the previous century. We synthesize Delphi Method, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to establish a synthetical evaluation method, DHP. Build a evaluation index system. We improve on Delphi Method to establish a synthetical evaluation index system which includes 4 first-grade indexes (sportsmanship, performance, attitude and abilities) and 16 second-grade indexes(see Table 2) to assess a coachs comprehensive competence and expound the definition of each index and data acquisition. (2) Determine the weight of each index. We adopt AHP and use YAAHP to calculate the weight of the 4 first-grade indexes:U={U1, U2, U3, U4}={0.1451, 0.4582, 0.1188, 0.2779}. Among those 4 indexes, performance has more influence on comprehensive competence than other three indexes. While abilities comes second and other two indexes has less influence. (3) Establish a synthetical evaluation method. We employ PCA to acquire the synthetical score of each index. Then we determine the comprehensive competence evaluation scores of each coach based on the weight of each index. Considering that performance index is easy to acquire while the other three indexes are difficult to obtain directly (In fact, we can indirectly acquire the data of these three indexes through Expert Decision. Yet there are limits on time and conditions. Also, it is against the rules to seek helps f