ppt课件-应用 g c m 数据影响 analysisover c a (应用 g c m 数据影响 analysisover c a)（ applying g c m datafor impacts analysisover c a（ applying g c m datafor impacts analysisover c a））.pptVIP

Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Global Climate Models, and California Climate Change Impacts GCM Selection Future GHG Emissions GCM Selection – Model Characteristics GCM Selection – Sensitivity Using GCMs in Impact Studies The problems: GCM spatial scale incompatible with local/regional processes roughly 2 – 5 degrees resolution some important processes not captured GCMs have biases Bias Correction Effects Mean and variability of observed data are reproduced for historical period Temperature trends into future in GCM output are preserved Relative changes in mean and variance in future period GCM ou