national weather service（国家气象服务）.docVIP

National Weather Service Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services Technical Procedures Bulletin Series No. 489 December 15, 2005 Subject: NOAA Real-Time Ocean Forecast System (Atlantic) THIS IS A NEW PRODUCT This bulletin, prepared by Todd Spindler of the Environmental Modeling Center (EMC), describes a new ocean forecast system for the U.S. East Coast. The system is based on the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) developed at the University of Miami and produces a daily nowcast and forecast guidance out to 120 hours of water temperature, salinity, currents, mixed layer depth, and surface elevation for the Atlantic Ocean including the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea from approximately 25 S to 75 N latitude. The spatial resolution of the model varies from approximately 17 km on the eastern side of the basin to about 5 km on the western side of the basin. The vertical structure consists of 25 levels, 18 isopycnal (densityfollowing) and 7 z-level for the upper layers including the mixed layer. Tidal forcing is included in the model. The model uses air-sea fluxes which are derived from NCEP’s GFS mesoscale atmospheric forecast model. Sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface height anomalies (SSHA) from observational data are assimilated every day. The RTOFS(Atlantic) will be implemented during the winter of 2005-2006. The forecast guidance will be issued daily with an issuance time of approximately 0300 UTC. NOAA Real-Time Ocean Forecasting System (Atlantic) RTOFS(Atlantic) Todd Spindler (EMC) 1.Introduction The purpose of the NOAA Real-Time Forecast System (Atlantic) is to generate daily nowcasts (i.e. analysis) and forecasts at 24 hour intervals out to 120 hours of ocean properties for the Atlantic Ocean including all of the coastal regions of the United States East and Gulf Coasts. The development of RTOFS(