numericalmodelingeffortsof h a bsin gulfof mexicoat coast（numericalmodelingeffortsof h一bsin gulfof mexicoat海岸）.docVIP

Numerical modeling efforts of HABs in the Gulf of Mexico at Coast Survey Development Laboratory (CSDL) of NOAA The Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) analysis and prediction studies at NOAA have two components associated with it : (i) measurements-based studies and (ii) numerical modeling-based studies. Currently, a NOAA HAB Bulletin for the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) is released twice a week based primarily on (i) which also contains some numerically predicted results based on a 1-D, Ekman transport type model employing wind velocity measurements from the VENF1 C-MAN station (Venice, FL) maintained by the National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) of NOAA. To augment the 1-D modeling strategy, a NOS West Florida Shelf 2-D (NWFS-2D) was implemented whereby a cross-shelf transport model based on Rutgers University’s Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) was implemented on the West Florida. The computational domain is a transect perpendicular from the coast which emanated from a point approximately midway between Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor and extends approximately 875 km into the Gulf of Mexico. The model is initialized using the temperature and salinity fields from the NOS/CSDL Gulf of Mexico model (NGOM) at /csdl/op/dgom.m.html that routinely produces daily Nowcast/Forecasts for the Gulf. The NGOM model is based on the Princeton Ocean Model that was implemented and vetted by Dynalysis of Princeton. The surface forcing for the model 2-D model is specified using a combination of wind data from the NDBC VENF1 C-MAN station and the North American Mesoscale (NAM) predictions. The HAB particle movements were simulated in NWFS-2D using massless and point line Lagrangian particles. This model is run on a daily basis at CSDL/NOAA and its output is emailed to several HAB investigators around the USA in the form of the graphic as shown in Figure 1. The four panels represent the paths of four different particle ensembles (released 3.5 days apart and with the first ensemble being re