researchonthenonlinearconcentrationmodelofscattering.pptVIP

Research on the nonlinear concentration model of scattering input and the method of real-time flood forecast with the shape restriction Abstract The topography of the basin and the space-time changes of the rainfall have important effects on the basin concentration. So, based on the topic double pinnate drainage of the Bailianhe basin, the nonlinear concentration model of scattering input which establishes on the reservoirs mode of series-parallel connection are presented with the shape restriction. By means of the variable gain factor recursive least-square method, the forecasting model is real-timely corrected. Using them to forecast the floods of Bailianhe basin, it shows that the models and method are effective in practice, so it can be a feasible flood forecast method for the basin with special topography. Geographical characteristics, such as river system shape, the topography and river way character, and the distribution of precipitation have great effects on the concentration procedure of runoff in sub regions of a basin . Especially in the typical narrow and long of feather shape river system of basin like Bailianhe reservoir basin, the effect become more obviously. The nonlinear concentration model of scattering input in double pinnate basin system is based on the system theory, and it divides basin into different sub basin according the basin landform and river characteristic. The concentration procedure of every sub basin is calculated by the real-time intension of precipitation instantaneous unit lines which describes the nonlinear reservoir-adjusting model. 白莲河水库流域简介 The basin of Bailianhe reservoir lies in the middle reach of Xishui river of Hubei Province eastern, it control 1797 square kilometers areas, its total capacity of reservoir is 1228 million cube kilometers. In the basin north and south is long, the west and east is narrow, and the average width is 15.7 kilometers. There are two rivers are gathered together in the basin, it is