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The challenges of early diagnosis of cancer in primary care
Jon Emery
Professor of General Practice
University of Western Australia
Director of PC4
Early cancer diagnosis
‘I went to see my oncologist in hospital earlier this week and we talked about this and that, and the importance of catching cancer early, which I found a bit annoying as they had not caught my cancer early, but it turned out he was just filling in time and wanted to talk to me about something different.’
O
Cochrane review of Hemoccult screening on colorectal cancer mortality
Symptomatic cancer and early diagnosis
Richards et al Lancet 1999
Delays from symptoms to diagnosis of 3-6 months associated with 7% worse 5-year survival from breast cancer
Effects not due to lead time bias
Longer delays associated with more advanced disease
Colorectal cancer diagnostic interval and mortality
Torring et al BJC 2010
Waiting list paradox
Diagnostic intervals 5 weeks associated with worsening mortality if ‘alarm symptoms’.
Similar U-shaped association for lung, melanoma and prostate cancer.
Variations in cancer survival
International variations in cancer survival
Australia, Canada and Sweden better than UK and Denmark
Differences greatest for 1- year survival
Variations in cancer survival
Rural cancer outcomes in Australia worse
Approximately 20% worse 5- year survival for common cancers
Differences in treatments received (eg radical prostatectomy Baade 2011)
Later stage at presentation (eg colorectal cancer Baade 2011)
Can some of the variations in cancer survival be improved by earlier diagnosis?
Potential approaches
Improve uptake of proven screening tests
Systematic application of evidence around symptoms as predictors of cancer
Community symptom awareness
General population
Targeted high risk groups
General practice level interventions
Tumour markers
Diagnostic aids
Models of ‘diagnostic delay’
Walter, Scott, Webster, Emery. JHSRP 2011
Models of ‘diagnostic delay’
First symptom
First contact with the
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