1961―2015年潍坊地区气候季节变化特征分析.docVIP

1961―2015年潍坊地区气候季节变化特征分析 　　摘要 为了研究气候变暖对潍坊地区气候季节变化的影响，根据气候季节划分国家标准，利用1961―2015年潍坊地区寒亭站逐日气温资料，分析了潍坊地区近55年来四季长度和开始日期的变化特征。结果表明：①潍坊地区四季分配呈现冬夏季长、春秋季短的特征。春季和秋季的年代际变化趋势不明显，夏季在进入21世纪之后一直呈现变长趋势，冬季的年代际缩短趋势较为明显。春夏两季开始期均有明显的提前趋势，秋冬两季开始期均有不同程度推迟。②潍坊地区的春秋季长度变化不是很明显，夏季呈现出明显的增长趋势，秋季长度有缓慢缩短之势，冬季则呈现出明显的缩短趋势。③春季长度变化呈现震荡趋势，夏季在2000年以后为增长区，秋季长度变化趋势则不明显，冬季长度在1997年发生突变之后持续缩短。四季的持续期都存在6年左右的周期，12年和18年的周期大多不同程度存在。 　　关键词 季节变化；特征；突变；周期；山东潍坊；1961―2015年 　　中图分类号 P467 文献标识码 A 文章编号 1007-5739（2016）20-0196-04 　　Analysis on Change Characteristics of Seasons in Weifang City During 1961-2015 　　WANG Wen-bo GAO Xiao-mei HAN Xiao WANG Shi-jie ZHAO Cheng-cheng 　　（Weifang Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province，Weifang Shandong 261011） 　　Abstract In order to study the influence of climate warming on seasonal climate changes in Weifang City，according to the national standard of seasonal division，using temperature data of Weifang City Hanting daily station from 1961 to 2015，the change characteristics of four seasons length and start date in recent 55 years were analyzed. The results showed that：①Distribution feature of four seasons was that winter and summer were long，spring and autumn were short. In spring and autumn，the interdecadal change trend was not obvious，in the summer，after entering the twenty-first century，there had been a longer trend，the decadal shorten trend of winter was more obvious. Beginning date of spring and summer had obvious trend in advance，and the beginning of autumn and winter had varying degrees of delay.②The length change of the spring and autumn in Weifang City was not very obvious，showing a clear growth trend in the summer，the length of the autumn had a slow shortening trend，the winter showed a significant shortening trend.③The length change of spring showed the trend of fluctuation，the length of summer after 2000 grew，the trend of autumn length was not obvious，the length of the winter after sudden change in 1997 continued to shorten. The duration of the four seasons wa