Forecasting Greenhouse Gases Ireland Europa预测温室气体的爱尔兰欧罗巴.pptVIP

Forecasting Greenhouse Gases:Ireland John Fitz Gerald The Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin www.esri.ie Introduction National Climate Change Strategy (NCCS) - 2000 ESRI Draft Revisions - September 2001 Models Used Today Parameters Comparison of Projections Responsibilities Models Used HERMES-Ireland Macro-economic model - used Energy sub-model - to be included DEMOG - Demographic model Household numbers - used Energy sub-model - used Methodology is being developed TEAGASC agriculture - developing Procedure Macro-economic environment Relate it to demographic change Migration and H