The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Flows in the European and奥地利贸易流量的碳含量在欧洲和.pptVIP

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The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Flows in the European and奥地利贸易流量的碳含量在欧洲和.ppt

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The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Flows in the European and奥地利贸易流量的碳含量在欧洲和

The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Simulation of climate policy and incorporated carbon trade implications Use of Production Based Principle only Effectiveness of climate policy overestimated? No representation of carbon leakage Assess the carbon and economic impact of post-2012 climate policy scenarios for Austria and on a global scale Output, Consumption, Trade flows, Carbon emissions Environmental effectiveness of climate policies (carbon leakage) The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade The model data Multi-sectoral, multi-regional, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model Austria/ main trading partners/ world regions (19 regions in total) 11 sectors: differentiated by energy intensity and whether covered by EU-ETS GTAP 7 database 113 countries; 57 commodities; base year 2004 Carbon emissions: unidirectional trade carbon accounting Scenario for 2020 (reference) Capital stock, labor, autonomous energy efficiency increase, multifactor productivity growth Considering current economic downturn The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade The Model – regional (dis)aggregation 19 regions based on Austria’s main trading partners Importance to climate policy debate The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade The Model – Sectoral (dis)aggregation The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Definition of policy scenarios The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Definition of policy scenarios The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Definition of policy scenarios The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Definition of policy scenarios The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Results – Austrian Output Trade Output and Trade effects for Austria relative to 2004 (in %) ETS sectors Non-ETS sectors The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Results – Austrian CO2 emissions EU unilateral scenarios Internationally coordinated scenarios for Annex I Production based (PBP) vs. Consumption based (CBP) CO2 emissions 2020 (Mt CO2) 9% 9% 9% 15% 21% 24% 20% 24% The Carbon Content of Austrian Trade Results – on a global scale