20050718-Gaming-Anders@ML.pdfVIP

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20050718-Gaming-Anders@ML

United States In-depth Report Gaming 18 July 2005 David W. Anders Las Vegas Chart Book Research Analyst, MLPFS (1) 212 449-2739 David_Anders@ Putting Las Vegas Trends In Perspective Vincent C. Agro Research Analyst, MLPFS (1) 212 449-7140 Reason for Report: Industry Update Vincent_Agro@ We believe that Las Vegas has been in a very unique period of extremely low supply growth over the last four years. We believe that the lack of supply has permitted fundamentals to improve dramatically. However, as returns have improved on Las Vegas’ assets, the city is again attracting capital. We expect supply growth will begin to pick up in 2007 and g accelerate in 2008 and 2009. We believe that this will be the primary challenge to future valuations awarded Las Vegas centric stocks. Below we highlight our key takeaways. • Well Below Trend line Supply Growth over the Last 3 Years. Since 2001 the number n of hotel rooms, gaming devices and tables have increased at anemic compound average growth rates (CAGR) of 1.3%, -2.9%, and 0.5%, respectively, versus long-term CAGRs i

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