Hybrid hot strip rolling force prediction using a bayesian trained artificial neural networ.pdf
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Hybrid hot strip rolling force prediction using a bayesian trained artificial neural networ
American Journal of Applied Sciences 3 (6): 1885-1889, 2006
ISSN 1546-9239
? 2006 Science Publications
Corresponding Author: Abdelkrim Moussaoui, Department of Electronics, University of Guelma, BP 401, 24000, Algeria
1885
Hybrid Hot Strip Rolling Force Prediction using a Bayesian Trained
Artificial Neural Network and Analytical Models
1Abdelkrim Moussaoui, 1Yacine Selaimia and 2Hadj Ahmed Abbassi
1Department of Electronics, University of Guelma, BP 401, 24000, Algeria
2Department of electronics, University of Annaba, BP 12, Annaba, 23000, Algeria
Abstract: The authors discuss the combination of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with analytical
models to improve the performance of the prediction model of finishing rolling force in hot strip
rolling mill process. The suggested model was implemented using Bayesian Evidence based training
algorithm. It was found that the Bayesian Evidence based approach provided a superior and smoother
fit to the real rolling mill data. Completely independent set of real rolling data were used to evaluate
the capacity of the fitted ANN model to predict the unseen regions of data. As a result, test rolls
obtained by the suggested hybrid model have shown high prediction quality comparatively to the usual
empirical prediction models.
Key words: Hot rolling mill, neural networks modelling, bayesian evidence
INTRODUCTION
Recent years have seen attempts by a number of
authors to utilise various artificial neural network
(ANN) based models to help better predict the rolling
force in a hot rolling strip mill[1-3]. The rationale here is
that ANNs have the potential to provide a mechanism
for dealing with multi-variate, often noisy and possibly
non-linear data sets, where an exact analytic model is
either intractable, or too time consuming to develop.
The basic procedure is to use a database of
measurements to train an ANN structure and then
evaluate the predictive capacity of the built model on
previ
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