炼厂加氢反应器的事故后果定量风险评价(编程)探索.doc

沈阳航空航天大学毕业设计（论文） 沈阳航空航天大学毕业设计（论文） PAGE 48 PAGE III 摘 要 加氢反应器的工作温度和压力都比较高，如果反应器超温、超压或发生泄漏，很有可能发生火灾或爆炸事故，造成严重的事故后果。对加氢反应器进行定量风险评价可以了解其危险后果以及影响范围，有助于企业制定事故应急预案，并事先采取预防措施，以便减少人员伤亡和财产损失。 本次毕业设计首先定性分析了加氢反应器中存在的危险、有害因素。基于加氢反应器可能发生的火灾、爆炸事故类型，选择了适宜的模型来定量地评价事故后果，.利用MATLAB软件编制加氢反应器定量风险评价软件。最后，.结合某煤焦油加氢反应器事故案例进行事故后果定量风险评价。 关键词：火灾爆炸；事故；蒸气云爆炸；风险评价 The Quantitative Risk Assessment of the Refinery Hydrogenation Reactor Accident Consequences Abstract Though the working-temperature and pressure of hydrogenation reactor is very high， Hydrogenation reactor is likely to bring about fire or explosion accident， and serious consequences. Studying the quantitative risk evaluation on the hydrogenation reactor can help us understand its dangerous consequences and influence scope， enterprise formulate accident emergency plan， take preventive measures in advance， and reduce casualties and property losses. Firstly， this graduation design analyses the dangerous and harmful factors existing in the hydrogenation reactor. Based on the possibility of fire and explosion accident types of the hydrogenation reactor， the suitable model is choosed to quantitatively evaluate the accident consequences. Then， the MATLAB software is used to evaluate the accidental consequences of hydrogenation reactor. In the end， a coal tar hydrogenation reactor accident case is used to quantitatively calculate the consequences of the accident. Keywords: Fire explosion; Accident;Vapor cloud explosion; Risk assessment 目 录TOC \o 1-3 \h \u   HYPERLINK \l _Toc423263211 1绪论  PAGEREF _Toc423263211 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc423263212 1.1引言  PAGEREF _Toc423263212 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc423263213 1.2国内外研究现状  PAGEREF _Toc423263213 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc423263214 1.2.1国外研究现状与发展  PAGEREF _Toc423263214 \h 1  HYPERLINK \l _Toc423263215 1.2.2国内探究现状与发展  PAGEREF _Toc423263215 \h 2  HYPERLINK \l _Toc423263216 1.3本文研究