Dynamic neural networks for real-time water level predictions of sewerage systems – covering gauged and ungauged sites.docVIP

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Dynamic neural networks for real-time water level predictions of sewerage systems – covering gauged and ungauged sites.doc

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Dynamic neural networks for real-time water level predictions of sewerage systems – covering gauged and ungauged sites

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,7,2317–2345,2010 /7/2317/2010/ ?Author(s)2010.Thisworkisdistributedunder theCreativeCommonsAttribution3.0License. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences HESSD 7,2317–2345,2010 Discussions Dynamicneural networksfor real-timewaterlevel predictions Thisdiscussionpaperis/hasbeenunderreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarth SystemSciences(HESS).Pleaserefertothecorresponding?nalpaperinHESS ifavailable. Y.-M.Chiangetal. Dynamicneuralnetworksforreal-time waterlevelpredictionsofsewerage systems–coveringgaugedand ungaugedsites TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures Y.-M.Chiang ,L.-C.Chang ,M.-J.Tsai ,Y.-F.Wang ,andF.-J.Chang1 1 2 1 3 J J I I 1Dept.ofBioenvironmentalSystemsEngineering,NationalTaiwanUniv.,Taipei,Taiwan 2Dept.ofWaterResourcesandEnvironmentalEngineering,TamkangUniv.,Taipei,Taiwan 3WaterResourcesAgency,MinistryofEconomicA?airs,R.O.C.,Taiwan Back Close Received:17March2010–Accepted:23March2010–Published:13April2010 Correspondenceto:F.-J.Chang(changfj@.tw) FullScreen/Esc Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion PublishedbyCopernicusPublicationsonbehalfoftheEuropeanGeosciencesUnion. 2317 Abstract HESSD Inthisresearch,weproposerecurrentneuralnetworks(RNNs)tobuildarelationship betweenrainfallsandwaterlevelpatternsofanurbanseweragesystembasedonhis- toricaltorrentialrain/stormevents. TheRNNallowsasignaltopropagateinbackward direction which gives this network a dynamic memory to e?ectively deal with time- varyingsystems. TheRNNisimplementedatbothgaugedandungaugedsitesfor5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-min-ahead water level predictions. The results show that the RNN iscapableoflearningthenonlinearseweragesystemandproducingsatisfactorypre- dictionsatthegaugedsites. Concerningtheungaugedsites, therearenohistorical 10 data of water level to support prediction. In order to overcome such problem, a set ofsyntheticdata, generatedfromastormwatermanagementmodel(SWMM)under cautious veri?cation process of applicability b