GMAT写作题库范文(八十)-智课教育.pdfVIP

智 课 网 G M A T 备 考 资 料 GMAT写作题库范文（八十）-智课教育 写作是个厚积薄发的考试，同学们在备考GMAT写作时，不仅要多 练习，也要去掌握一些重点语句。有些题库范文是需要大家掌握并且熟 练记忆的，熟记于心才能运用自如，才能举一反三。接下来小编就给大 家介绍一下GMAT写作范文，希望对大家备考GMAT写作考试有帮助。 80. The following appeared in the editorial section of a daily newspaper. “Although forecasts of presidential elections based on opinion polls measure current voter preference, many voters keep changing their minds about whom they prefer until the last few days before the balloting. Some do not even make a final decision until they enter the voting booth. Forecasts based on opinion polls are therefore little better at predicting election outcomes than a random guess would be.” Discuss how well reasoned... etc. 日报的社论： 虽然基于民调的总统选举预测可以估计当前选民的倾向。但很多选 民直到选举前几天一直拿不定主意。一些人甚至在进投票站之前都没法 最后决定。因此基于民调的预测和随机猜测相比在预期选举结果方面好 不了多少。 In this editorial the author asserts that opinion polls are little better than random guesses to predicting outcomes of presidential elections. The author’s basis for this assertion is that opinion polls measure only the preferences of voters at the time of the poll and that many voters change their preferences several time before voting—some remaining undecided until the moment they cast their vote. The author’s reasoning is unconvincing in two critical respects. First of all the predictions based on random guessing are such that the greater the number of candidates, the less likely the prediction will be correct. The reason for this is obvious: random guessing requires that no outside information be allowed to influence the guess. Predictions based on opinion polls, on the other hand, will differ considerably from those based on random guesses simply because outside information will influence the result. For example, in a four-person race, random guessing would yield the correct prediction 25 percent of the time, whereas the percentage of correct predictions b