基于云模型的石化企业应急成熟度评价方法.pdfVIP

学兔兔 石 油 与 天 然 气 化 工 118 CHEMICAL ENGINEERING OF OIL 8L GAS 2O15 基于云模型的石化企业应急成熟度评价方法 黄亮亮 姚安林 祁云清 范小霞 1．西南石油大学石油与天然气工程学院 2．四川省尺度建设工程设计有限公司 摘 要 针对石化企业应急能力评价过程中随机性与模糊性并存的问题，提出一种基于云模型的 综合评价方法。首先，从危机管理的PPRR模型出发建立了石化企业应急成熟度评价指标体系；其次， 分别采用逆向云发生器和CRITIC法计算指标的评价云和权重值；最后，通过浮动云和综合云算法实现 应急成熟度的综合评价。实例分析表明，该方法能够揭示评价因子与评价过程内在的不确定性，评价结 果直观、符合实际，便于实现专家的群体决策。 关键词 石化企业 应急能力 成熟度 云模型 CRITIC法 中图分类号：X92 文献标志码：A DO1：10．3969／j．issn．1007—3426．2015．02．026 Emergency maturity assessment method of petrochemical enterprises based on cloud model Huang Liangliang ，Yao Anlin ，Qi Yunqing ，Fan Xiaoxia (1．College of PetroleumNatural Gas Engineering，SouthwestPetroleum University，Chengdu 610500，China) (2．Sichuan CHIDU Building Engineering Construction Design Company，Chengdu 610500，China) Abstract：A comprehensive assessment method based on cloud model theory is proposed in order to dea1 with the problem of fuzziness and randomness in the process of emergency capacity assessment of petrochemical enterprises．Firstly，starting from PPRR(preVention，preparation，response and recov— ery)model of crisis management，assessment indicator system of emergency maturity in petroehemi— ca1 enterprises was established；then，cloud model and weight value of indexes were obtained through backward cloud generator and CRITIC(criteria importance through intercriteria correlation)method； finally，comprehensive assessment of emergency maturity was accomplished by floating and compre— hensive cloud algorithms．The results show that this method can reveal inherent uncertainty of assess— men