Probing Evolutionary Repeatability Neutral and Double Changes and the Predictability of Evolutionary Adaptation 英文参考文献.docVIP
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Probing Evolutionary Repeatability Neutral and Double Changes and the Predictability of Evolutionary Adaptation 英文参考文献
ProbingEvolutionaryRepeatability:NeutralandDouble
ChangesandthePredictabilityofEvolutionary
Adaptation
ScottWilliamRoy*
NationalCenterforBiotechnologyInformation,NationalLibraryofMedicine,NationalInstitutesofHealth,Bethesda,Maryland,UnitedStatesofAmerica
Abstract
Background:Thequestionofhoworganismsadaptisamongthemostfundamentalinevolutionarybiology.Tworecent
studiesinvestigatedtheevolutionofEscherichiacoliinresponsetochallengewiththeantibioticcefotaxime.Studyingfive
mutations in the b-lactamase gene that together confer significant antibiotic resistance, the authors showed a complex
fitnesslandscapethatgreatlyconstrainedtheidentityandorderofintermediatesleadingfromtheinitialwildtypegenotype
to the final resistant genotype. Out of 18 billion possible orders of single mutations leading from non-resistant to fully-
resistantform,theyfoundthatonly27(1.561027%)pathwayswerecharacterizedbyconsistentlyincreasingresistance,thus
onlyatinyfractionofpossiblepathsareaccessiblebypositiveselection.Ifurtherexplorethesedatainseveralways.
Principal Findings: Allowing neutral changes (those that do not affect resistance) increases the number of accessible
pathways considerably, from 27 to 629. Allowing multiple simultaneous mutations also greatly increases the number of
accessible pathways. Allowing a single case of double mutation to occur along a pathway increases the number of
pathwaysfrom27to259,andallowingarbitrarilymanypairsofsimultaneouschangesincreasesthenumberofpossible
pathwaysbymorethan100fold,to4800.Iintroducethemetric‘repeatability,’theprobabilitythattworandomtrialswill
proceedviatheexactsamepathway.Ingeneral,Ifindthatwhilethetotalnumberofaccessiblepathwaysisdramatically
affectedbyallowingneutralordoublemutations,theoverallevolutionaryrepeatabilityisgenerallymuchlessaffected.
Conclusions:Theseresultsprobetheconceivablepathwaysavailabletoevolution.Evenwhenmanyoftheassumptionsof
the analysis of Weinreich et al. (2006) are relaxed, I find that evolution to more highly cef
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