基于KPCA-WLSSVM的建筑能耗预测模型.pdfVIP

学兔兔 第37卷第5期 土 木 建 筑 与 环 境 工 程 Journal of Civil，Architectural Environmental Engineering VoI．37 No．5 2O15年 10月 0ct．2O15 doi：10．11835／j．issn．1674—4764．2015．05．016 基于KPCA—WLSSVM的建筑能耗预测模型 赵 超，戴坤成，王贵评 (福州大学节能技术研究中心，福州350108) 摘 要：为降低建筑能耗影响因素间复杂相关性对模型性能的影响，建立了一种基于 KPCA— WLSSVM的建筑能耗预测模型。利用核主元分析(KPCA)对输入变量进行数据压缩，消除变量之 间的相关性，简化模型结构；进一步采用加权最小二乘支持向量机(WLSSVM)方法建立建筑能耗 预测模型，同时结合一种新型混沌粒子群一模拟退火混合优化(CPSO-SA)算法对模型参数进行优 化，以提高模型的预测性能及泛化能力。通过将 KPCA—WLSSVM模型方法应用于某办公建筑能 耗的预测中，并与WLSSVM、LSSVM及RBFNN模型相比，实验结果表明，KPCA—WLSSVM模型 方法能有效提高建筑能耗预测精度。 关键词：建筑能耗；预测；核主元分析；支持向量机 中图分类号：TU831 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1674—4764(2015)05—0109—07 A prediction model for energy consumption of building based on KPCA—WLSSVM Zhao Ohao，Dai Kuncheng，Wang Guiping (Research Center of Energy Saving Technology，Fuzhou University，Fuzhou 350108， P．R．China) Abstract：The correlations among the building energy consumption factors can corrupt the prediction model’ S performance，and get undesirable results．A prediction model based on KPCA—WLSSVM is proposed to forecast building energy consumption．The kernel principal component analysis(KPCA)method could not only solve the linear correlation of the input and compress data but also simplify the model structure．A novel hybrid chaos particle swarm optimization simulated annealing(CPSO—SA)algorithm is applied to optimize WLSSVM parameters to improve learning performance and generalization ability of the mode1． Furthermore，the KPCA—WLSSVM model is applied to the energy consumption prediction for an office building，and the results show that the KPCA—W