大面积航班延误事后分析研究.pdfVIP

Open Journal of Transportation Technologies 交通技术, 2017, 6(1), 23-31 Published Online January 2017 in Hans. /journal/ojtt /10.12677/ojtt.2017.61004 A Study on Postmortem Resonsibility Analysis for Large-Scale Flight Delay 1 2 2 Yan Zuo , Yueqi Cao , Zhaoning Zhang 1 Safety Management Department, East China Air Traffic Management Bureau of CAAC, Shanghai 2 College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin nd th rd Received: Jan. 2 , 2017; accepted: Jan. 20 , 2017; published: Jan. 23 , 2017 Copyright © 2017 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access Abstract In order to adopt appropriate measures to avoid the occurrence of more flight delays, it’s helpful to identify the weak links in the process of flights running and determine the main responsible units for flight delays by analyzing postmortem responsibility of large-scale flight delays. Post- mortem analysis indicator is selected by analyzing the process of flights running and a two-layer postmortem analysis indicator system is built by classifying these indicators into different re- sponsibility units. A model of postmortem analysis for flight delays is established to identify the first delay indicator and the subsequent delay indicator according to flight schedules and flight actual operating data and to determine the main responsible unit of flight delays by calculating the responsibility