资本投入、技术进步与就业促进.pdfVIP

• 82 • 《数量经济技术经济研究)) 2007 年第 2 期 资本扶入、提术进步与就止促进① 冉光和 曹跃群 (重庆大学贸易与行政学院) E摘要】经济转轨过程中我国将始终面格着持续上升的就业压力。缓解日益严 重的就业压力，必然要求从战略高度审视，就业问题，把就业作为经济社会发展的基 本优先自栋，保持劳动供给与劳动需求的均衡诗润。本文通过构建基于劳动供需许 调率 sncr 的 AK 模型，采用 1952~ 2004 年时闰序到样本数据，运j毒协整栓拴 CCointegration Tεst) 和格兰杰国果关系捡拴 (Grangεr Causality Test) ，研究了资 本投入、提术进步、实际工资与劳动供需格调率之前的关系。经验分析表明，资本 投入与劳动供需协调之前存在稳定的正梧关关系，技术进步则与劳动供需诗调呈稳 定的竞相关关系，偏离比较优势的资本深化与技术进步弱化了就业促进功能并加速 了劳动市场的分化。最后据此提出了简短的对策建议。 关键词 资本投入技术进步劳动供需协调率 中图分类号 F015 文献标识码 A Capital Input , Technology Progress and Employment Promotion Abstract: We are always facing the ascending pressure of employment in the course of economic transition. Thus we have to solve this employment problem from a strategic view and treat it as a basicly preferential object in order to rεlieve it through considering the coordinatεdevelopment between labor supply and labor de- mand. Through formating an AK model and adopting 1952-2004 data , this paper deeply studies 出e relationship among capital input , technology progress , real wage and sncr with Cointegration Test and Granger Causality Test. The emprical a nalysis shows that there is a kind of stable、 long - term positive correlation between capital input 、 real wagεand sncr. While the relationship is negative between tech nology progress and sncr. The capital deepεning and technology progress with de- parture of comparative advantage further weaken the function of employment pro- motion. Finally this paper presents some brief countermeasures. Key words: Capital Input; Technology Progress; Coordination Rate of Labor Supply and Demand CSncr) ① 本研究受国家哲学社会科学基金重点项目财政金融政策与城乡协调发展的理论与实践研究 (编号: