蛛网实际（国外英文资料）.docVIP

蛛网理论（国外英文资料） Cobweb model by introducing the time change, the demand of continuous investigation belongs to different times, the interaction between supply and price, use the method of dynamic analysis is discussed, such as agricultural products, livestock products such production cycle longer the output and price of a commodity in deviating from the equilibrium state after the actual wave process and its results. Cobweb model, the basic assumption is that the commodity production for Qts signs in current is determined by the price of the previous Pt 1, namely supply function is for Qts signs = f (Pt 1), the demand of commodity current Qtd is determined by the price of this Pt, namely the demand function for Qtd = f (Pt). Based on the assumptions above, the web model can be represented by the following three equations: Qtd = alpha, beta, Pt, Qts = -delta + gamma-pt-1 Qtd = for Qts signs Alpha, beta, delta and gamma are all constant and all greater than zero. Because of the difference in time of economic variables, the web model is a dynamic model. The spider web model analyzes the three conditions of commodity production and price fluctuation. In the first case, the absolute value of the slope of the supply curve is greater than the absolute value of the slope of the demand curve. When the market due to interference from the original equilibrium state after the actual price and the actual output fluctuating around the equilibrium level, but the width of fluctuation in a smaller and smaller, finally to return to its original equilibrium. The assumption is that in the first phase, due to an external disturbance, such as the adverse climatic conditions, the actual yield is reduced by the equilibrium level of Qe to Q1. According to the demand curve, the consumer is willing to pay P1 for all of the output Q1, so the real price goes up to P1. According to the higher price level of the first issue, the producer will increase the output of the second phase to Q2 according