全球SPEI数据的应用与其与环流因子的多尺度分析.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2017, 6(1), 9-17 Published Online February 2017 in Hans. /journal/jwrr /10.12677/jwrr.2017.61002 Application of Global SPEI Database and Its Multi-Scale Correlation with Circulation Factors * Ying Hou, Fang Zheng , Hongxue Mu College of Resources and Environment Sciences, Ningxia (China-Arab) Key Laboratory of Resource Assessment and Environment Regulation in Arid Region, Ningxia University, Yinchuan Ningxia th th st Received: Jan. 24 , 2017; accepted: Feb. 18 , 2017; published: Feb. 21 , 2017 Abstract Taking upper reaches of Shiyang River as an example, the multi-time scale cross-wavelet transformation was used to study SPEI, sunspot, climate factors (precipitation, maximum temperature and hours of sunshine) and large-scale circulation factors (PDO, NAO, Nino3.4 and SOI) as well as their relationships in the upper reaches of the Shiyang River. The results show that there is a significant correlation be- tween SPEI and climate factors utilizing the method of cross wavelet coherence, and the precipitation change plays a major role in SPEI change. The applicability of global SPEI database in this region was tested. Results of continuous wavelet transformation show that SPEI12 has significant 2 - 3 years periods; SPEI48 has significant 8 - 11 years periods. The significant coherence was found between SPEI at differ- ent time-scales and sunspot and four large-scale circulation factors. There are the common patterns of 8 - 12 years oscillation circle between SPEI at different time-scales and sunspot during the whole period (1950-2000). NAO, PDO and SPEI48 in the upper reaches are significant correlated with at the scales of quasi-10 years during the period from 1970 to 1999. ENSO (El Nino-Sout