基于时间维度的煤与瓦斯突出预警指标体系的构建 .pdfVIP

学兔兔 煤 炭 工 程 2012年第5期 基于时间维度的煤与瓦斯突出预警 指标体系的构建 牛聚粉 ，程五一 (1．北京建筑工程学院北京市建筑安全监测工程技术研究中心，北京 100044； 2．中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院，北京 100083) 摘 要：文章以安全系统理论为指导，以煤与瓦斯突出危险性孕育、发生、发展的时间维度 为切入点，提出建立包括煤与瓦斯突出危险性形成的自然历史因素、现实影响因素、实时影响因 素的预警指标体系的方法。在此基础上，结合预警逻辑工作过程，就煤与瓦斯突出危险性预警指 标体系构成以及采用计算机系统实现动态预警指标体系构建进行了探讨。实践证明，该方法提高 了预警指标系统的通用性、现场应用的灵活性以及煤与瓦斯突出预警的准确性。 关键词：时间维度；事故预警；指标体系；煤与瓦斯突出 中图分类号：TD713 ．2 文献标识码：B 文章编号：1671—0959(2012)05蜘96’()3 Establishment on Early Warning and Index System of Coal and Gas Outburst Base on Time Dimension NIU Ju—feng ，CHENG Wu—yi (1．Beijing Engineering Research Center of Monitoring for Construction Safety，Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture， Beijing 100044，China；2．School of Engineering Technology，China University of Geosciences(Beijing)，Beijing 100083，China) Abstract：Base Oil the safety system theory as the guide and the inoculation，OCCBITCBee and development time dimension of the coal and gas outburst dan~r as the breakthrough point．the paper provided a method to establish a early warning index system，including the natural historical factors，real influence factors and real time influence factors formed by the coal and gas outburst dangers．Base on the above，in combination with the early warning logic work process，a discussion Was conducted on the compositions of the coal and gas outburst danger early warning index system and the establishment of the dynamic early warning index sy