第四届树轮大会邵雪梅报告.pptVIP

* Temperature Variations in the Past 2000 Years in the Northeastern Tibetan Plateau Derived from Tree Ring Data Xuemei Shao1,2, Mingqi Li1, Zhi-Yong Yin3,1, Yong Zhang et al. 1. Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China; 2. Center for Excellence and Innovation in Tibetan Plateau Earth System Sciences, CAS, Beijing 100101, China 3. Department of Environmental and Ocean Sciences, University of San Diego, San Diego, 92110, United States of America 2015-11-08 国际PAGES-IGBP研究计划2K项目 2K 项目第一阶段的结果 目的：为气候模式验证提供资料 中世纪是否温暖，小冰期是否是全球性的，引起气候变化的原因…… Main achievement of the PAGES 2k network phase 1 2k network. (2013) Nature Geoscience multi-proxy, pairwise comparison multi-proxy, composite plus scale trees, point-by-point regression trees pollen, principal components multi-proxy, ensemble multi-proxy, principal components glacier ice, composite plus scale 2k network. (2013) Nature Geoscience 降水重建 建立水分敏感的长年表（２０００年） 青藏高原东北部是理想的场所 In this report: One chronology was updated to cover the whole past 2000 years, And a new chronology was developed from the upper tree limit also covering the whole past 2000 years Both of them are well replicated. 温度重建尝试 Climate characteristics at Delingha station Mean annual precipitation is only 177.4 mm Mean temperature is –10.9oC in January and 16.5oC in July (1971-2000) Arid and semi-arid area Upper treeline at DLH Upper treeline at WL Standing dead trees Living trees Sampling information at the upper treeline in Delingha Sampling information at the upper treeline in Wulan 　Partial sample depth from the upper treeline in DLH Two ring-width chronologies For the original series: 0. 69 for 2258 years (246 BC-AD 2012) 0.75 since AD 1 0.787 since AD 500 0.791 since AD 1000 For the first differenced two series : 0.84 for 2257 years 0.85 since AD 1 0.86 since AD 500 0.87 since AD 1000 Correlation coefficients of the two seri