甘肃工业结构调整与工业增长研究.pdfVIP

摘要 i 摘要 摘 要 工业结构与工业增长密切相关，工业结构不断调整升级是工业增长的一般规 律，合理的工业结构是一个国家或地区工业长期健康发展的重要保证。世界经济 的发展历史已经表明，工业的高速增长总是与工业结构的适时调整相伴而生。积 极推动工业结构向合理化高级化发展，通过调整工业结构以求速度求效益，已成 为当今世界各国各地区尤其是发展中国家和地区普遍追求的目标。 新中国成立后，经过多年的发展，甘肃形成了比较完善的工业体系，但同时 也存在工业结构不合理、工业部门不协调等问题。近年来国家注重转变经济发展 方式和调整经济结构，甘肃应把握政策机遇，大力调整工业结构，从而促进工业 增长，最终实现经济的可持续发展。 本文首先梳理了工业结构理论，并总结了工业化过程中工业结构演进的一般 趋势；其次回顾了甘肃工业的发展历程并分析了甘肃工业结构的现状及存在问 题；本文的核心是构建分行业随机前沿生产函数模型并将工业全要素生产率分解 为技术进步、技术效率、规模效应和要素重置效率，通过计算改革开放后甘肃工 业增长中要素重置效率的贡献率来求证甘肃工业增长是否存在结构红利即结 构调整对生产率增长的积极影响，并根据研究结论提出如何进一步推进甘肃工业 结构调整以带动工业增长的政策性建议。 关键词：甘肃工业结构；结构红利；随机前沿生产函数；要素重置效率 ii Abstract Abstract Abstract AAbbssttrraacctt Industrial structure is closely related to the industrial growth. The constantly upgrading of industrial structure is the general law of industrial growth, while the rational industrial structure greatly guarantees the healthy industrial development of a country or a region on long-term basis. It has been inferred from the world economic development that the rapid industrial growth always goes together with the timely adjustment of industrial structure. Therefore, it has been the goal pursued by all countries and regions across the world, especially the developing economies to actively promote and adjust the industrial structure to be more rational and advanced inorder tospeed uptheeconomicdevelopmentand obtainthedesiredbenefit. With years’development since thefoundation of new China, Gansu has formed a relatively complete industrial system. However, problems exist, such as the discordant of industrial department, irrationality of the industrial structure, etc. In recent years,