地铁深基坑支护方案优选的模糊概率方法.pdfVIP

第4卷 第6期 铁道科学与工程学报 VoI．4 No．6 2007年 l2月 JOURNAL OF RAll、^fAY SClENCE AND ENGINEERING Dec 20o7 地铁深基坑支护方案优选的模糊概率方法 刘章军，雷进生 (三峡大学土木水电学院，湖北宜昌443002) 摘 要：根据地铁深基坑支护工程的特点，建立了支护方案评价的指标体系，并将模糊概率理论与层次分析法(AHP)相结 合，构造了地铁深基坑支护方案优选的模糊概率综合评价模型。在此评价模型中，提出了模糊权重的概念，可充分考虑权 重的模糊性，避免了传统方法在权重取值上的局限性。实例分析表明，该模型概念清晰，理论严密，计算简单，适用范围广， 且评价结果客观可靠，为工程决策者提供了一种科学有效的评价方法。 关键词：深基坑；支护方案；模糊概率；层次分析法；综合评价 中图分类号：TU712 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1672—7029(2007}06—0057—05 Fuzzy probability model of supporting scheme for deep foundation pit of metro and its application LIU Zhang-jun，LEI Jin-sheng (College of CivilHydreelectrie Engineering，China Ttuee Gorges University，Yichang 443002，China) Abstract：According to characteristics of bracing engineering for deep foundation pit in metro，an index system for sup- porting scheme was established．Using the theory of fuzzy probability and analytic hierarchy process(AHP)，the paper constructed a comprehensive assessment to optimize supporting scheme for deep excavation of metro．In order to assess the index weights scientifically，the fuzzy weighted value was proposed to avoid the linrltation while determining the in- dex weights．The practical example，with 4 supporting schemes for deep foundation pit of metro in Guangzhou，was in— troduced and compared to the results obtained by other methods．The method is based on clear concept and rigorous theories，and Can be applied extensively to obtain objective and dependable result for the managers of civil engineer- ing． Key words：deep foundation pit；supporting scheme；fuzzy probability；analytic hierarchy process；comprehensive as- sessment 自1965年美国自动控制专家Zadeh提出模糊 确定性。如何从多个方案中选择一个相对最优的 集合(fuzzy sets)的概念以来…，模糊数学已广泛应