台湾地区地方财政剩余与人口迁移关系之实证研究.pdfVIP

Economic Management Journal May 2015, Volume 4, Issue 2, PP.28-34 A Study on the Relationship between Fiscal Residuum and Population Migration in Taiwan Area 1# 2 3 Shu-Jan Lin , Chien-Chiang Lee , Yi-Chung Hsu 1. Public Finance and Taxation/National Taichung University of Science and Technology/Graduate Student, 404, Taiwan 2. Finance/National Sun Yat-sen University/ Professor/ 80424, Taiwan 3. Public Finance and Taxation/National Taichung University of Science and Technology/Associate Professor, 404 Taiwan #Email: mingdo168@.tw Abstract Tiebout (1956) voting by feet hypothesis suggests that internal migration decisions of consumer-voters are affected by the differences between local revenue and expenditure. This study using panel data from 1998 to 2012 including 19 counties(cities) in Taiwan explore the relationship between the Fiscal Residuum and the internal migration for Taiwan residents. In addition, we also investigate whether there is significant evidence that voting by feet hypothesis is still applicable in Taiwan after widely discussed for nearly 60 years. The empirical study yield results that local fiscal surplus has positive and statistically significant impact on net migration rate, implying that consumer-voters vote by their feet in Taiwan. Besides, higher education migrants also have positive responsiveness, but income, urbanization and unemployment rate have no correlation with internal migration. Keywords: Fiscal Residuum, Migration, Voting by Feet, Panel Data 台湾地区地方财政剩余与人口迁移关系之 实证研究 1 2 3 林淑珍 ，李建强 ，许义忠