铁路信号系统风险严重度综合评判.pdfVIP

4 5 5 V o.l 45 N o. 5 20 10 10 JOU RNAL OF SOUTHW EST JIAOTONG UN IVER SITY O ct. 2010 : 025 8-2724 20 10) 05-0758-05 DOI: 10. 3969 / j. issn. 0258-2724. 2010. 05. 017 张亚东, 郭 进, 单 娜 , 6100 31) : , , , , . , , . : ; ; ; ; ; : U 284 : A ComprehensiveEvaluation ofRisk SeverityLevelof Railway SignalSystem ZHAN G Yadong, GUO J in, SHAN N a Schoo l of Inform ation Science and T echno logy, Southw est J iaotong U n ive rsity, Chengdu 6100 31, Ch ina) Abstract: In order to assess the risk sever ity leve l of a ra ilway signal system m ore sc ientif ically, a com prehensive eva luation m ethod of the risk severity leve lwas proposed based on the expert evalua tion m ethod and the characteristic o f the risk severity level of raiwl ay signa l system s and by comprehensive app lication o f the ana lytic hierarchy process, the w eighted average integrated function and the m ax mi um m em bership principle. By taking an autom atic b lock system bewt een ra ilw ay stations as an exam ple, the risk severity leve l of establishm ent o f a b lock system w ith delay w as ana lyzed and assessed using this com prehensive evaluation m ethod. T he proposed eva luation m ethod can assess the risk severity level o f a ra ilw ay signa l system m ore effectively and be u sed in the risk-based safety assessm ent of a ra ilw ay signal system. ey words: ra ilw ay signa l system; safety; risk severity leve;l com prehensive evaluat ion; ana ly tic h ierarchy process; expert evaluat ion m ethod