人民币升值对中国和世界经济的影响分析（Analysis of the impact of RMB appreciation on China and the world economy）.doc

人民币升值对中国和世界经济的影响分析（Analysis of the impact of RMB appreciation on China and the world economy） Analysis of the impact of RMB appreciation on China and the world economy At present the domestic and foreign academic, political and media debate more RMB appreciation, based on the in-depth analysis of the RMB appreciation pressure based on the causes, to explore the impact of RMB appreciation on China economy from two sides, and further elaborated on the world, especially the United States, Japan and the negative impact of the Asian economy. For the future of RMB exchange rate system reform and put forward reasonable suggestions. I. Introduction Since the beginning of 2003, the RMB appreciation should become a hot topic of concern to the international community, and from the pure economic problem into a political issue, the United States and Japan to become the main force of public opinion to promote the appreciation of the renminbi. Japans minister of finance Shiokawa Masagarashiro proposed in 1985 for the yen Plaza Agreement files in the 7 finance ministers meeting on February 2003, RMB appreciation; U.S. Treasury Secretary Snow also delivered a speech called for the appreciation of RMB; US $perfect union and proposed to the 301 clause to promote RMB appreciation; moreover, because the dollar continued to decline, some countries in Europe and East Asia also began to worry about Chinese export competition impact, different degree of appreciation of the RMB joined the ranks. The latest report of the European Commission released in May showed that 15 EU countries decided in October 2003 will be the first to raise China in the generalized system of preferences (GSP) enjoy the preferential tariff of export commodities, improve from the current 3.5% to 5%, while the first half of 2004, will be officially canceled for China gsp. In July 16, 2003, Greenspan, chairman of the Federal Reserve, spoke to the world to focus on the renminbi again in the face of global deflationary pr