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浅析人民币汇率变动原因及其影响(Analysis of reasons and influence of RMB exchange rate change)
Analysis of reasons and influence of RMB exchange rate change
Wujunru
(School of finance, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Liaoning, Dalian 116023)
[Abstract] exchange rate, as an important indicator of international finance, has always been a tool to realize and measure the balance of domestic and external economies. This paper analyzes the influence of RMB exchange rate change on Chinas economy from two aspects of macro and micro, and proposes corresponding measures to maintain the stability of RMB exchange rate and promote the balanced development of domestic and foreign economy.
RMB exchange rate; balance of payments; economic stability
In July 21, 2005, the peoples Bank of China issued on improving the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism reform notice, since then, gave up the RMB pegged to the U.S. dollar exchange rate system was established based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, a managed floating exchange rate system, and the currency and the dollar adjustment is 8.11: 1. As of July 1, 2008, the central bank announced that the central parity of RMB against the U.S. dollar reached US $1 and RMB 6.8608 yuan in the foreign exchange market.
I. Analysis of the causes of RMB exchange rate changes
1. domestic economy provides the internal power of exchange rate growth
The influence of Chinas internal economy on exchange rate can be analyzed from four aspects: balance of payments, capital flow, economic strength and policy factors.
First, from the perspective of international payments, Chinas trade surplus remained at a high level, the balance of payments under the current account surplus, impact on the entire trade gradually decreased, but large surplus under capital account, foreign exchange reserves amount increases, and lead to increase the supply of foreign exchange. The final result of this change is the rise in the local currency ex
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