东海冷涡对东亚季风和黑潮气候跃变响应的数值模拟研究.PDF

The role of the East Asian monsoon (EAM) in the responses of the marine environment in the East China Sea (ECS) to the East Asian climatic jump around 1976/77 Rong-shuo Cai and Jun-pen Zhang Key Laboratory of Global Change and Marine-Atmospheric Chemistry, Third Institute of Oceanography, Sate Oceanic Administration, P.R. China PICES-2013, Nanaimo, BC, Canada October 18, 2013 Outline • 1. Background • 2. Model, data and experiment desgins • 3. The ECS responses to the climatic jump of EAM around 1976/77 • 4. Conclusion 1. Background Trends of sea level Trends of China coastal sea level during the periods of 1980-2012, 2.9 mm/yr. Air temp. SST 0.38℃/10yr. 0.20℃/10yr. SSS Sea Level -0.29hPa/10yr. 29 mm/10yr. From Chinese Sea Level Bulletin 2012 Variations of observed China coastal sea level in the periods of 1980-2012. 200 5月 150 ） 米 100 May 毫 （ 50 In 2012, China coastal 化 变 面 平 0 海 -50 Sea Level (SL) reached -100 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 年 the highest in the past 200 ） 150 6月 June decades. 米 毫 100 （ 50 The mean SL anomaly is 化 变 面 平 0 122mm.