气象站地理地形参数.docVIP

经度(°E) 纬度（°N） 海拔/m 坡度θ/(° 坡向β/(° 闭合度（δ） 达坂城 88.32 43.35 1103.50 26.01 157.62 0.57 精河 82.90 44.62 320.10 2.07 324.46 0.99 乌苏 84.67 44.44 478.70 7.71 33.69 0.76 石河子 86.05 44.32 442.90 2.41 49.76 0.26 蔡家湖 87.53 44.20 440.50 1.67 135.00 0 奇台 89.57 44.02 793.50 2.64 338.20 1 伊宁 81.33 43.95 662.50 4.08 288.44 0.29 昭苏 81.13 43.15 1851 3.47 196.39 0.22 巴伦台 82.13 42.73 1739.00 51.02 145.30 0 库米什 88.22 42.23 922.40 4.52 176.63 0.58 巴音布鲁克 84.15 43.03 2458.00 22.22 198.44 0.34 焉者 86.57 42.08 1055.30 1.68 198.44 0.11 吐鲁番 89.20 42.93 34.50 3.11 45.00 0.99 阿克苏 80.23 41.17 1103.80 2.55 325.00 0.19 拜城 81.90 41.78 1229.20 3.34 240.95 0.94 轮台 84.25 41.78 976.10 3.59 296.57 0.65 库车 82.97 41.72 1081.90 3.46 135．00 0.81 库尔勒 86.13 41.75 931.50 2.38 168.69 0.15 吐尔尕特 75.40 40.52 3504.40 26.43 231.52 0.08 阿合奇 78.45 40.93 1984.60 44.47 340.68 0.11 乌鲁木齐 87.65 43.78 935.00 17.46 258.69 0.52 气候平均年降水量与地理地形参数的关系模型形式可表示为： Ｐ ＝a＋bH＋cΦ＋dｓｉｎ２θ （１） 式中：Ｐ 为降水量；H为海拔；Φ为纬度；θ为坡度；a为常数项；b，c，d为各变量系数． 　要求：利用气象测站降水和地理地形参数，通过回归分析，得到天山地区气候平均年降水量与地理地形参数的拟合方程为：即求出a,b,c,d x1=[1103.5,440.5,1984.9,1055.3,1739,931.5,3504.4,1103.8,34.5,935,1081.9,1851,793.5,662.5,976.1,922.4,2458,320.1,478.7,1229.2,442.9]; x2=[43.35,44.2,40.93,42.08,42.73,41.75,40.52,41.17,42.93,43.78,41.72,43.15,44.02,43.95,41.78,42.23,43.03,44.62,44.44,41.78,44.32]; x3=sin(2.*[26.01,1.67,44.47,1.68,51.02,2.38,26.43,2.55,3.11,17.46,3.46,3.47,2.64,4.08,3.59,4.52,22.22,2.07,7.71,3.34,2.41]); X=[ones(21,1),x1,x2,x3]; Y=[71.25,146.27,220.22,77,211.45,56.97,254.45,74.66,15.58,271.54,70.6,517.52,191.98,282.6,65.97,55.17,278.02,105.74,174.38,121.76,198.65]; [b,bint,r,rint,stats]=regress(Y,X); vpa(b,4) 结果：ans = -2993.0 0.1303 70.29 9.069 及a=-2993.0，b=0.1303，c=70.29，d=9.069。 月份 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 降水总量/1010m3 月份 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 降水总量/1010m3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3