财政政策和劳动力场.docVIP

财政支出对劳动就业的影响分析 —以中国为例 Auswirkungen der Fiskalausgabe auf Beschaeftigung -Beispiel aus China Effects of Fiscal Expenditure on Employment -Evidence from China 王文甫(Wenfu Wang)  目录/Gliederung/Contents 中文提要/Chinesische Zusammenfassung/Chinese Abstract 英文提要/Englische Zusammenfassung/English Abstract 1. 导言/Einleitung/Introduction 2. 政府支出与就业的理论分析/Modell zur Analyse der Beziehung zwischen Fiskalausgabe und Beschaeftigung/Model for Analysis of Relations between Fiscal Expenditure and Employment 3. 中国数据的实证分析/Emperische Analyse mit Daten aus China/Empirical Analysis with Data from China 4．小结/Schlussfolgerungen/Conclusions 关键词：财政支出政策；就业；协整；误差修正模型 Keywords: fiscal expenditure employment cointegration ECM -------------------------------------------------------- 作者/Autor/Author: 王文甫（Wenfu Wang） 电子信箱/Email：wenfuwng@  中文摘要 本文把政府购买引进效用函数中，建立一新古典增长模型，分析发现：政府支出、技术进步对就业量的作用与消费者的风险规避系数有关；另外，得出一个一般的结论：政府支出增加促进就业，技术进步抑制就业。然后，利用中国的数据进行计量分析，发现就业量和政府支出、生产技术存在长期协整关系，验证了理论模型的结论，另又得出一个结论：政府的支出对就业的短期效应大于长期效应。最后给出简短的小结。 English Abstract This paper studies effects of fiscal expenditure on employment. Firstly, this paper builds an economic growth model in neoclassical framework, in which government expenditure is introduced into utility function. Then we find that employment quantity is correlated with coefficient of relative risk aversion when government expenditure increases, or production technology level is enhanced. In addition, this paper leads to a conclusion that government expenditure is helpful to employment while production technology progress decreases employment in reality. Secondly, this paper presents an empirical analysis of econometric model, by use of China’s data. Consequently, we find that there is a long run cointegration among employment, government expenditure and production technology level. Empirical conclusions are consistent with ones in theoretical model. Another empirical conclusion is that government expenditure has a bigger effect on employment